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Polling data & insights using proprietary methodology.

40.1%

TRUMP JOB APPROVAL

55.7%  DISAPPROVE

13%

CONGRESS JOB APPROVAL

68%  DISAPPROVE

+11%

DEMOCRATS

GENERIC CONGRESSIONAL BALLOT
IF THE ELECTIONS WERE HELD TODAY

DEMOCRATS           48.7% 
REPUBLICANS       37.7% 

POLLING HIGHLIGHT

Favorite recent polling tidbit

Our Trump approval and other polling averages are based on publicly available polling data, which we couple with a variety of other demographic information to arrive at our final numbers. We believe that our process, which goes well beyond simply calculating an average from various polls, captures an accurate picture of the true views and feelings of the American public.

FY TruePoll Details View

UPDATED: JULY 13, 2018

2018 General Predictions

U.S. HOUSE
DEMOCRATS TAKE CONTROL WITH a MAJORITY of TEN SEATS or LESS

U.S. SENATE:
DEMOCRATS TAKE CONTROL WITH a MAJORITY of ONE or TWO SEATS

GOVERNORSHIPS:
DEMOCRATS +10 (26)
REPUBLICANS -9 (24)
INDEPENDENTS: No Change (1)

UTAH: HOUSE 4th District
Love (R) vs McAdams (D)
McAdams wins

FLORIDA: Senate
Scott (R) vs Nelson (D)
Nelson wins

WISCONSIN: Governor
Walker (R) vs Evers (D)
Evers wins

TEXAS: Senate
Cruz (R) vs O’Rourke (D)
O’Rourke wins

 

MONTANA: Senate
Rosendale (R) vs Tester (D)
Tester wins

TEXAS: Governor
Abbott (R) vs Valdez (D)
Abbott wins

WEST VIRGINIA: Senate
Morrisey (R) vs Manchin (D)
Manchin wins

NORTH DAKOTA: Senate
Cramer (R) vs Heitkamp (D)
Tossup

OHIO: Governor
DeWine (R) vs Cordray (D)
Cordray wins

Current Pulse of America

78%

APPROVAL OF
PRESIDENT TRUMP
REPUBLICANS ONLY

29%

% OF AMERICANS WHO THINK TRUMP IS “HONEST AND TRUSTWORTHY”

46%

THINK AMERICANS ARE BECOMING LESS PATRIOTIC

62%

DON’T THINK ONE CAN BURN THE FLAG & STILL BE CONSIDERED PATRIOTIC

43%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE
OF TRUMP

23%

STRONGLY APPROVE
OF TRUMP

54%

THINK TRUMP IS A WEAK LEADER

46%

THINK TRUMP IS A STRONG LEADER

FY TruePoll: Examining the true mood of the country by diving deep into polling and other data. Our exclusive and proprietary FY TruePoll formula provides the most accurate snapshot of attitudes on a given subject. There’s a lot of magic behind our formula, which is based entirely on publicly available polling and demographic data. To determine our numbers, we remove all outliers, and make other educated adjustments based on voting shifts and other data. In order to get a fair, accurate and less turbulent snapshot, our numbers are calculated weekly and bi-weekly with updates on Mondays.

We gave Donald Trump a 100% chance of victory in the months and weeks prior to the 2016 presidential election, and a 100% chance that Clinton would win the Democratic nomination, due largely to the “southern first” primary schedule.

STAY TUNED FOR MORE INSIGHTS ON THE 2018 MIDTERM ELECTION

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